Stratospheric model predicts more extreme weather events in the future.
The study compared a computer model of the Earth's upper atmosphere with real-world observations. The model did a good job of simulating the winter circulation in the Northern Hemisphere but had some errors in the Southern Hemisphere. It accurately represented the breakdown of the polar vortex in the North, but struggled to capture variability in the South. The model showed stronger winds and a cold bias in certain areas, which improved in the spring. Overall, the model's performance was mixed, with some areas matching observations well and others needing improvement.