Environmental Science
8 years ago

Swedish study predicts overall increase in annual precipitation due to climate change.

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences
Using statistical downscaling to quantify the GCM-related uncertainty in regional climate change scenarios: A case study of Swedish precipitation
Deliang Chen, Christine Achberger, Jouni Räisänen, Cecilia Hellström

Paper Summary

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Statistical downscaling was used to study how global climate models affect regional climate change scenarios in Sweden. By analyzing data from 17 different models, researchers found that overall, annual precipitation in Sweden is expected to increase due to more large-scale precipitation and stronger westerly winds. The uncertainty in these predictions is similar across Sweden but varies by season, with winter forecasts being more reliable than summer ones.