New approach predicts likelihood of critical climate change exceedance.
The article discusses a new way to look at how climate change scenarios are used to predict future impacts. Instead of starting with a climate model and working down to impacts, the researchers suggest starting with what levels of climate change different regions can handle. Then, they ask how likely it is that future climate change will exceed these limits. By looking at past climate data, they show how this approach can help us better understand and prepare for potential climate changes in the future.