Stock prices and interest rates linked to economic activity, shaping monetary policy.
The article examines the relationship between asset prices, economic activity, and interest rates over the business cycle. The researchers use statistical analysis to identify patterns in how stock market indices, real activity, and interest rates move together. They find that by analyzing the cyclical components of variables, such as GDP, we can better understand their co-movements during different phases of the business cycle. This approach helps to uncover important connections between economic indicators and financial markets.