Discretionary Monetary Policy in China Leads to Economic Instability and Welfare Losses
The study examined optimal monetary policy in China using a hybrid new Keynesian model. It found that China's current monetary policy is close to optimal, with a focus on output stability. Discretion-based policies lead to more instability and welfare losses compared to precommitment-based policies. The optimal Taylor rule can be a good substitute for precommitment-based policy in China.