The article looks at why carbon emissions are increasing in Xinjiang. It checks how much energy is used, how much carbon is emitted, and how this is changing in different industries. By breaking down factors using a model, it sees that growth in the local economy and population is a big reason behind more carbon emissions. Shifting to cleaner energy and industries and using energy more efficiently can help lower carbon emissions. The analysis covers years between 1985 and 2009. If we want to cut carbon emissions, focusing on how we use energy and the types of industries can make a big difference.