Environmental Science
8 years ago

Future land use changes could drastically impact food prices and greenhouse gas emissions.

Global Environmental Change
Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways
Alexander Popp, Katherine Calvin, Shinichiro Fujimori, Peter Havlík, Florian Humpenöder, Elke Stehfest, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Jan Philipp Dietrich, Jonathan C. Doelmann, Mykola Gusti, Tomoko Hasegawa, Page Kyle, Michael Obersteiner, Andrzej Tabeau, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Hugo Valin, Stephanie Waldhoff, Isabelle Weindl, Marshall Wise, Elmar Kriegler, Hermann Lotze‐Campen, Oliver Fricko, Keywan Riahi, Detlef P. van Vuuren

Paper Summary

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The future of land use will face challenges due to increasing food demand and climate change. Different scenarios show potential changes in agricultural land and greenhouse gas emissions. A world with low demand for food, high productivity, and global trade could lead to more natural ecosystems, lower emissions, and cheaper food. Different approaches to land use can greatly impact the environment and food prices in the future.