Climate indices reveal key to predicting Nile basin rainfall variability.
The researchers analyzed rainfall patterns in the Nile basin at different sizes and timeframes. They found that the amount of variance explained by the first two principal components decreased as the spatial domain size increased. Climate indices were better at explaining rainfall variability regionally rather than at specific locations. The correlation between rainfall variability and climate indices varied across different time scales. These results help in choosing the right spatial and temporal scales to understand rainfall changes in the area.