New ARIMA Model Predicts Future Economic Trends with High Accuracy
Time series forecasting helps predict future values based on past data. The ARIMA model is a common tool for this, especially for data that is not always stable. In this study, the researchers used ARIMA to analyze the Producer Price Index in China from 1978 to 2013. By comparing different models, they found that ARIMA (1, 1, 1) was the most accurate for forecasting. This model showed minor errors when predicting the PPI for the following three years. Overall, the study suggests that analyzing time series data can be helpful for understanding trends and making short-term predictions.