New method predicts extreme events with low frequency but high impact.
Extreme value analysis helps predict how likely extreme events are to occur based on past data. It focuses on rare but severe events, like high or low values in a process. Researchers use methods like period maxima and GEV distribution to identify extreme values. Different distributions like Gumbel and Frechet can also be used. The Gumbel distribution is a special case of the Hosking distribution. Extreme value max distribution is for extreme maxima, while extreme value min distribution is for extreme minima.