Revolutionary Forecasting Method Boosts Accuracy of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Predictions
The scientists developed a new method to make better predictions about how strong tropical storms will be. They combined three different forecast models to create a more accurate overall forecast. By using this method, they were able to reduce errors in their predictions by 5% to 7% on average. This new approach also helped them understand how certain they were about their predictions. Overall, this new method improved the accuracy of tropical storm intensity forecasts and could be used in regular weather forecasting.