Financial shocks explain over 20% of US output variation
The article explores how banks and monetary policy affect the economy. Banks change their liabilities in response to monetary policy, which limits the impact on their assets. Financial shocks played a big role in the 2007-2008 recession. Inflation targeting is effective in improving welfare, and financial shocks explain a significant portion of output variation. Market segmentation between short and long bond markets is needed to match real-world data on term premiums. Smoothing the term premium can be beneficial for the economy.