Economics, Econometrics and Finance
5 years ago

New model explains foreign exchange market mysteries, unlocking profit potential.

IMF Working Paper
Explaining Foreign Exchange Market Puzzles
Norman C. Miller

Paper Summary

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The paper explains why the exchange rate sometimes jumps suddenly, why it can stay high or low for a while, and why it's hard to predict. It also shows that betting against official interventions in the short term can be profitable, but not in the long run.