Money Supply Shocks Lead to Currency Depreciation in Open Economies
The article explores how changes in money supply, labor productivity, and world interest rates affect a country's exchange rate. The study uses a model to show that when a country's money supply increases, its currency value drops, leading to lower interest rates and higher output. Similarly, improvements in labor productivity and higher world interest rates also cause the country's currency to depreciate. The model's predictions match the exchange rate patterns seen in major economies after the Bretton Woods era.