Demographic shifts could reshape Europe's future, new forecasts reveal
The article looks at past population forecasts in 14 European countries since 1950. They focus on predictions for birth rates, life expectancy, and migration. The researchers studied how accurate these forecasts were and if there were any patterns in the errors. They also made future predictions for these three factors up to 2050 using time series models. The models showed that fertility and mortality can be predicted using certain patterns, while migration is more unpredictable.