Unpredictable Equilibria: How Sticky Expectations Could Trigger Runaway Inflation
The article explores a new economic model where people's expectations about inflation are not always rational, leading to multiple possible outcomes. The model shows that extreme past events can influence the current equilibrium, and small shocks may not change it much, but larger shocks can lead to unpredictable changes. In some cases, runaway inflation can even happen. The study also looks at how a similar sticky response in interest rates can affect the model.