Economics, Econometrics and Finance
4 years ago

Population Age Impacts Interest Rates, Changing Forecasting for Investors

IMF Economic Review
Demographics and the Behavior of Interest Rates
Carlo A. Favero, Arie E. Gozluklu, Haoxi Yang

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Interest rates are influenced by demographics. By studying the age composition of the population, researchers can predict long-term interest rate trends. They use a model that factors in demographic information to forecast bond yields accurately. This approach helps investors make informed decisions about long-term investments.