Real appreciation leads to current account deterioration, impacting global imbalances.
The study looked at how exchange rates and current accounts affect each other. They found that when a country's currency gets stronger, its current account usually gets worse. This relationship is mainly one-way, with exchange rates influencing current accounts. Short-term interest rates also play a role. Monthly data suggests that trade balance adjustments happen less often, showing that valuation effects are important. Overall, trends in exchange rates and current accounts are similar across countries in the long run, which is important for understanding global imbalances.