Rising Interest Rates Could Extend Mortgage Repayment Times by Years
The article explores how changes in interest rates affect mortgage prepayments. Different types of mortgages react differently to interest rate increases, impacting the economic value of the mortgages. By analyzing a sample of 4,000 mortgages in California, the researchers found that a sudden 5% increase in interest rates led to a 23% loss in the economic value of fixed interest rate mortgages and a 28% loss for assumable mortgages. This resulted in a lengthening of the average time to repay the mortgages, from 6 years to 9 years for fixed interest rate mortgages and 13.5 years for assumable ones.