Financial uncertainty drives investment dynamics, shaping macroeconomic outcomes.
Fluctuations in uncertainty affect investment through changes in credit spreads, regardless of the level of uncertainty. Financial distortions, not just "wait-and-see" effects, play a key role in how uncertainty impacts the economy. A model with varying uncertainty, financial frictions, and nonconvex costs successfully replicates these patterns. Both uncertainty and financial shocks strongly influence investment and lead to countercyclical credit spreads and procyclical leverage.