New study reveals how US prices and output impact each other
The comovement between US prices and output has been studied in the postwar period. The analysis shows that in the short run, prices and output move together, while in the long run, they move in opposite directions. This suggests that demand shocks play a bigger role in the short term, while supply shocks are more important in the long term. Sticky-price models with only demand shocks cannot explain these results.