Sovereign credit risk fuels financial contagion in vulnerable European banking system.
The article explores how financial risks spread in the European banking system. By using a method called Maximum Entropy, the researchers studied how shocks in interbank, asset price, and sovereign credit markets can lead to widespread losses and bank failures. They found that the southern European banking system is more at risk of contagion than the northern system. The study shows that the euro area banking system is vulnerable to systemic risks, especially through sovereign credit risk.