Analysts' Optimistic Forecasts Lead to Misleading Earnings Growth Expectations.
Analysts often predict high earnings growth for companies, but their forecasts are usually too optimistic. When companies have positive earnings growth, analysts' predictions are somewhat accurate. However, when companies have negative earnings growth, analysts tend to get it wrong. The market pays more attention to forecasts that correctly predict whether earnings will go up or down, even though the exact amount of growth is hard to predict.