Environmental Science
4 years ago

Salmon futures market fails to predict spot prices, remains immature.

RePEc: Research Papers in Economics
The Spot-Forward Relationship in the Atlantic Salmon Market
Frank Asche, Bård Misund, Atle Øglend

Paper Summary

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The study looked at the salmon futures market to see if futures prices accurately predict spot prices and if the market helps discover prices. They found that spot and futures prices are related, with spot prices leading futures prices by 1 to 6 months. This means futures prices don't predict spot prices well yet. The market is still new and developing, so it's not yet at the stage where futures prices can forecast spot prices.