Tax cuts for the wealthy have minimal impact on government revenue.
The article examines how people's income changes in response to tax rate adjustments in Sweden from 1991 to 2002. By analyzing a large group of taxpayers, the researchers found that long-term income elasticity to tax rates is around 0.20 to 0.30, meaning income changes by 20-30% for every 1% change in tax rates. Short-term effects are smaller and less certain. A hypothetical 5% reduction in the top tax rate is predicted to have little impact on tax revenue, possibly even increasing it.