Opening capital account before trade liberalization may harm developing countries' welfare.
Trade and capital market liberalization in developing countries can have different effects on welfare depending on the order in which they are implemented. If capital account is opened before trade restrictions are reduced, it may decrease welfare if foreign borrowing is used for investment. However, if investment decisions are guided by shadow prices, this negative effect can be avoided. Gradually reducing import tariffs while easing capital market restrictions on investment is better than sudden trade liberalization for overall welfare.