Newly hired workers' wages volatile, challenging traditional unemployment predictions.
The study looked at why unemployment rates can change a lot even when the economy is stable. They found that wages for new workers can change quickly based on how productive they are, but wages for existing workers stay the same. This means that while wages are flexible for new jobs, they are rigid for ongoing jobs. This type of wage rigidity doesn't affect how many jobs are created, so it doesn't explain why unemployment rates can be so unpredictable.