Oil supply shocks lead to larger negative impacts on UK economy.
Oil price movements impact the UK economy differently based on whether they are caused by supply or demand changes. Supply shocks lead to bigger negative effects on output and higher inflation, while demand shocks have smaller, mostly positive impacts on output. The nature of oil shocks has changed over time, with the oil price becoming more sensitive to production changes. Since the mid-1980s, oil shock impacts on the UK economy have decreased, but slightly increased since around 2004.