UK economy shaped by changing inflation expectations and macro shocks
The article looks at how inflation expectations and economic factors in the UK have changed over time. By analyzing data from post-WWII to 2007, the researchers found that shocks to inflation expectations had a big impact on actual inflation in the 1970s, but this effect decreased by the end of the study period. Oil price shocks and real demand shocks were important in the 1970s, but their influence lessened over time. Monetary policy responses to these shocks played a key role in shaping economic outcomes.