Economics, Econometrics and Finance
4 years ago

Predicting Future Interest Rates: How Past Data Can Shape Global Economies

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Long‐run Causality, with an Application to International Links Between Long‐term Interest Rates
Catherine Bruneau, Éric Jondeau

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The article defines long-run causality in a way that helps predict future outcomes based on past data. It uses a statistical method to test if one variable affects another in the long term. The researchers applied this method to study the relationships between US, German, and French long-term interest rates from 1990 to 1997.