Countries with high external vulnerability face prolonged economic crises after sudden stops.
The article examines how sudden stops of capital flows affect countries. It looks at 43 countries from 1993 to 2006 and finds that when a country relies heavily on external funding, it takes longer for the economy to recover after a sudden stop. This means that countries with high external vulnerability may not suffer immediate severe losses during a sudden stop, but they will likely experience prolonged economic crises. The study expands on previous research by including more countries and time periods, considering time-series autocorrelation, and analyzing how economic growth adjusts after a sudden stop.