Economics, Econometrics and Finance
4 years ago

New system predicts currency crises 24 months in advance.

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Staff Papers
Leading Indicators of Currency Crises
Graciela Kaminsky, Saul Lizondo, Carmen Reinhart

Paper Summary

The article discusses how certain indicators can predict currency crises. By monitoring factors like exports, exchange rate deviations, money reserves, output, and stock prices, we can get a warning signal of a possible crisis within 24 months.

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