Staggered Wage Bargaining Model Predicts Cyclical Behavior of Unemployment Fluctuations
The researchers modified a model to better explain why unemployment changes a lot during good and bad times. By allowing wages to be set over multiple time periods instead of just one, they found a new way to predict how wages and job market activity change over time. When they tested their new model with real data, it matched up well with what actually happens in the job market.