Credit rating announcements shake stock and CDS markets, revealing market anticipation.
The article looks at how stock and credit default swap markets react to credit rating announcements from major agencies. They found that both markets can predict rating downgrades and reviews for downgrade. Reviews for downgrade from Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s have the biggest impact. The markets' response is influenced by the old rating level, previous rating events, and the average rating level before the announcement.