Yield curves predict exchange rates, offering insight into future currency movements.
The yield curve can help predict exchange rates by looking at interest rates in different countries. By analyzing data from the UK, Canada, Japan, and the US between 1985-2005, researchers found that factors like level, slope, and curvature of the yield curve can forecast future exchange rate movements and currency returns. These findings suggest that the yield curve can be a useful tool for understanding and predicting changes in exchange rates.