Global business cycle framework predicts economic trends and global events.
The article discusses how to track and understand the global business cycle using real-time data. By analyzing information from G-7 countries, the researchers found that a common factor can explain a lot of the ups and downs in different economies. They also discovered that this factor and individual country factors affect economic activity differently over time. Lastly, they observed changes in how synchronized the business cycles of G-7 countries have been in recent decades.