Active interest rates in open economies may trigger chaotic economic cycles.
Active interest rate rules in open economies can lead to unstable economic cycles and chaotic dynamics. The level of instability depends on factors like how open the economy is and the impact of exchange rate changes. A forward-looking rule is more likely to cause these dynamics in highly open economies with significant exchange rate pass-through. These findings hold true regardless of the timing of the rule, the type of inflation measured, or the timing of real money balances.