Firms' Inflation Expectations Shaped by Unique Experiences and Oil Prices
Firms' inflation expectations were studied using data from the Bank of Canada's Business Outlook Survey. The results show that firms' expectations are influenced by their own experiences and movements in oil prices. Expectations have not been consistent with rationality but are more complex than just adaptive. Inflation expectations in Canada have decreased since the Great Recession, but businesses' expectations have not become unanchored.