Australian inflation persistence linked to time-varying trend inflation, impacting economic forecasting.
The study looked at why inflation in Australia stays high for a long time. They found that changes in the average inflation rate over time don't fully explain this. In Australia, past inflation and future expectations of inflation have a big impact on current inflation. This means that people tend to adjust their prices based on what happened before and what they think will happen in the future. However, the importance of looking at past inflation has decreased since the Reserve Bank started targeting inflation in 1993.