Good times make investors cautious, leading to volatile stock returns.
The article explores how people's emotions affect their investment decisions. When people are happy, they tend to be more cautious with their money. The study shows that in good times, investors are less likely to take risks with their wealth compared to their spending. By considering how people's happiness influences their risk-taking behavior, the model predicts high returns on stocks, stable interest rates, and significant impacts on the economy. The key finding is that changes in risk preferences based on happiness levels can lead to fluctuations in stock prices and future returns.