Negative export shock impacts consumption, welfare; supply shock affects unemployment, output.
The article looks at how a drop in productivity and exports affects a small open economy with unemployment. They use a model that includes factors like job searching and wage bargaining. The study shows that a decrease in exports mainly impacts consumption and welfare, not unemployment or output. On the other hand, a productivity drop leads to significant changes in unemployment, output, consumption, and welfare. When both shocks happen together, the effects on consumption and welfare almost double.