Monetary policy effects on economy larger and more persistent than thought!
A new type of model called time-varying parameter vector autoregressions was created to study how structural shocks affect economic activity in the U.S. The study found that when considering the impact of these shocks on autoregressive coefficients, monetary policy has a stronger and longer-lasting effect on the economy. Additionally, cost-push shocks have played a significant role in historical changes in inflation-gap persistence.