Financial and business activities best predict inflation in Asian economies.
The article looks at how to predict inflation in Asian countries like Singapore, Japan, South Korea, and Hong Kong. They studied different factors like business activity, financial activity, and global commodity prices to see which ones are best at predicting inflation. They found that financial and business activity are good predictors for Singapore, Hong Kong, and South Korea, while global commodity prices are important for Japan. Monetary factors didn't work as well. Overall, using a specific model called the inflation-markup model improved predictions, especially for Japan and Korea, as the forecast time increased.