Euro Area Monetary Policy Shifts Post-1993: Low Volatility, Small Impact.
The article introduces a new way to identify a type of economic model called Markov-switching SVAR. The researchers developed a method to study if monetary policy changed in the euro area after the European Monetary Union. They found that models with varying shock variances were the most effective. There was a consistent period of low volatility in output, prices, and interest rates after 1993. The impact of monetary policy on output was small and uncertain in different scenarios.