New currency trading strategy boosts profits, especially in emerging markets!
The study shows that using forward discounts can predict future currency returns differently for various currencies. A new currency trading strategy based on this difference can make more profits than the usual strategy. Emerging market currencies offer good profit opportunities. Both strategies make less profit when FX markets are unstable. The new strategy performs better in stable periods but not in volatile ones. The new strategy is consistently better than the old one even with different specifications.