New research reveals why prices stay high during economic downturns
Prices are slow to change because firms don't update their information quickly. Firms that update their expectations more also adjust prices more often. During economic downturns, firms update expectations more frequently and make fewer forecast errors. They also adjust prices more often in downturns. Firms gather more information during volatile times and adjust prices and expectations more frequently. This means that the overall price level is more flexible during economic downturns, which makes monetary policy less effective.