Predictable trading behavior boosts market efficiency and delivers economic gains.
This article explores how machine learning can help predict asset prices and improve trading strategies. The researchers found that predictable trading behavior can enhance market efficiency and liquidity. Machine learning techniques were shown to outperform traditional methods in forecasting bond returns, leading to better investment outcomes. By analyzing index options, the researchers identified key factors like jumps, volatility, and term structure that impact option returns. They also discovered that different types of investors exhibit varying trading patterns based on economic conditions, which can influence future returns.