Mathematics
3 years ago

ARIMA model accurately forecasts COVID-19 cases in India, aiding pandemic containment.

International Journal of Current Research and Review
Forecasting of Covid-19 Cases in India by Time Series Analysis Using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model
Ashish Khobragade, Kadam Dilip

Paper Summary

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The study aimed to predict the number of COVID-19 cases in India using a mathematical model called ARIMA. By analyzing data from 50 days, the model accurately forecasted the daily cases. The results showed that the actual reported cases fell within the predicted range, suggesting the model's effectiveness in short-term forecasting. This approach could help in planning strategies to control pandemics.