Economics, Econometrics and Finance
3 years ago

Economic Indicator Revealed as Key to Forecasting Financial Market Trends.

Computational Economics
Does the Real Business Cycle Help Forecast the Financial Cycle?
Fredj Jawadi, Hachmi Ben Ameur, Stéphanie Bigou, Alexis Flageollet

Paper Summary

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The article explores how the real business cycle in the US can help predict the financial cycle. By analyzing data from 1987 to 2016, the researchers found that economic indicators can forecast financial trends. They discovered a strong link between the financial and economic cycles, especially during periods of economic growth. This information can help investors and policymakers anticipate changes in the financial sector.