Tight Monetary Policy Could Lead to Economic Contraction and Reduced Lending.
The article discusses how changes in the amount of money in circulation can affect overall spending in the economy. It questions whether small changes in interest rates can really have a big impact on investments and spending. The researchers suggest that credit effects, like changes in bank lending, may play a key role in this process. Tight monetary policies can lead to less lending by banks, which can then reduce spending by businesses and consumers. This credit channel is not always considered in traditional economic models but could help explain why spending can stay low even after interest rates return to normal levels.